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Edge alerts · waiting for fresh data

In-app alerts watch selections highlighted during this visit. A missing quote or model pauses verification; it does not prove an edge disappeared. No push notifications are sent when the site is closed.

Best supported looks

Top 3 · selected sport

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No usable positive model comparisons in this view. Missing or stale data never creates a pick.

How the shortlist works

Ranked by return after a 3 percentage-point forecast reduction, then base return. This sensitivity check is not a confidence interval. Green means positive projected return survives that test; yellow means a thin potential edge. Neither means safe.

A positive comparison stays off the best-supported list when the model differs from this book by more than 10 percentage points or the price needs less than a 15% win rate to break even. Those transparent review thresholds catch extreme disagreements and longshots where small probability errors can create huge-looking returns; they do not declare the bet good or bad.

The no-vig baseline removes the margin from this provider’s paired quote; it is not market-wide consensus. With a tie forecast, model-versus-book compares decisive outcomes, while return calculations conservatively count ties as losses. Expert agreement and unverified injury effects do not influence the ranking.

The five-minute job scans up to 16 eligible games per league per run and rotates through larger slates. Background quotes expire after six minutes and at game start; failed checks are withheld. NFL and college-football moneylines only. These are reference prices, not verified live sportsbook offers.

All-game forecast audit · loading

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Chimp results log · 0 recorded

Shared prospective record of positive model comparisons discovered by the scheduled scanner. The server independently rechecks quotes and models before saving. First captured price is locked; later prices never rewrite it.

Results checks: Some checks are unconfirmed

Using the collector’s report; detailed completion receipts are not available yet. A completed result check can still mean the game is pending. These times do not verify sportsbook quote freshness.

0 settled records · 0 pending · 0 ties

Activity log only — not a performance summary. It can contain multiple records, including opposite sides, for one game when the model/price comparison changed. Use the first-pick selected sample above for hypothetical pick performance and the all-game audit for model evaluation. Covers the latest 500 captured records in this sport, not every market or opportunity. Price checks are last observed references, not official closing lines. Result checks rotate through started games, including failed checks, so older unresolved events cannot block newer records. Cancelled or interrupted games stay ungraded until verified; no refund is assumed. Scheduled scans discover and record new qualifying picks even with the site closed. Verified background results checks are reported above. Old records captured before background discovery remain included.

Filters & data details

The board checks ESPN every 15 seconds after each completed request while visible. Scores and game status can update during play. These odds are public pregame reference quotes, not verified live sportsbook prices; they are hidden when a game starts or a successful source check is too old. Direct checks expire after 90 seconds; scheduled references expire after six minutes. Scheduled collection runs every five minutes.

Line-movement labels use direct checks only. Changes compare consecutive checks from the same sportsbook and market on this device. A blue “Changed” label records movement, not better value. Opening lines and market-wide history are not supplied.

What “Fool’s gold” and “Trap risk” mean

Fool’s gold risk · Combined moneyline markup of 8% or more. This is an app-chosen screening threshold, not a tested estimate of value.

Trap risk · Stale data, an in-progress game without quote timestamps, or an unidentified sportsbook.

Flags identify a specific pricing or data concern. They do not prove deliberate deception or predict a loss. An unflagged market is not rated safe or profitable. Markup checks cover complete two-outcome MLB, NBA, WNBA and men’s college basketball moneylines; spreads, totals and other sports are not scored.

How sportsbook pricing works ↗

Pregame reference odds · sportsbook update times unavailable

0 football models checked
Ratings & example bets

Model value: 5/5 = model return above 5%; 4/5 = above 3% up to 5%; 3/5 = above 0% up to 3%; 2/5 = −5% to 0%; 1/5 = below −5%. These are screening thresholds, not proven win-rate or safety tiers. ESPN projections may be wrong or outdated.

Illustrative bet: an unnamed team at +120 with a 50% win estimate has a 45.45% break-even win rate and +10% model return: 5/5. At −120, the same 50% estimate gives −8.33%: 1/5. These examples are not current picks.

Price grade: paired-quote margin ≤2%, ≤4%, ≤6%, ≤8%, or above 8% gives 5, 4, 3, 2, or 1/5 respectively. This evaluates price overhead only.

NFL

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